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India vs Australia 4th Test Tips - Visitors likely to bank on Nathan Lyon's performance

By Sridhar Bhamidi

07 Mar 2023

Sridhar Bhamidi 07 Mar 2023

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India vs Australia 4th Test predictions for the Test match starting in Ahmedabad on Thursday morning time, IST
India have won 11 of their last 14 home Tests against Australia
Australia have won their last 3 Test matches under Steven Smith's captaincy
Nathan Lyon has taken at least 6 wickets in each of his last 2 Tests
Can Steven Smith fashion another surprise performance against India?

Can Smith and Lyon help lightning strike twice? (Getty Images)

India vs Australia Fourth Test Tips

After a stunning comeback in the series with a famous win in Indore, Australia will look to rock India’s boat once again when the Border-Gavaskar Trophy ends with the fourth and final Test in Ahmedabad. This match will be played at the Narendra Modi Stadium from March 9th, starting at 9:30am IST or 3:00pm AEDT.

India vs Australia Fourth Test Tips
Head to Head
India Form
India Team News
Australia Form
Australia Team News

Reversing the script of the series on its head, Australia surprised the hosts with a nine-wicket win in Indore. Fashioned by Nathan Lyon’s bowling and Steve Smith’s astute captaincy, that win has definitely thrown India’s plans into astray. It is still a minor blip, but Australia are likely to put their might again as an interesting game awaits. I am going for individual options in this match with Nathan Lyon backed to take at least six wickets.

India have won 11 of their last 14 matches at home against Australia (Tests)
Australia have won their last 3 matches with Steve Smith as captain (Tests)
Nathan Lyon has taken at least 6 wickets in a match in his last 2 matches in India (Tests)
Steven Smith averages 77.14 against India in 15 innings as captain of Australia (Tests)

Head to Head

India played Australia in 105 Tests so far with India winning 31, losing 44, one tie and 28 draws. Of these Tests, there have been 53 which were played in India; 23 have seen India wins, 14 Australia victories and the remaining 15 ending in a draw.

Although the last Test saw Australia romp home to a famous win, it was India who have been dominant in the recent years. They have won 11 of their last 14 home Tests against Australia, losing only twice – incidentally both under Steve Smith’s captaincy.

India Form

After the wins in Nagpur and Delhi, India came crashing down in Indore losing by 9 wickets. The match was more or lost in the first session of the Test when they lost seven wickets and were chasing the game from there on.

In a series where the talk is about the pitches, Indian top-order has flattered to deceive. Captain Rohit Sharma is the top scorer for them with 207 runs while Virat Kohli (111) and Cheteshwar Pujara (98) have been far behind in terms of contributions.

Bowling has been all about the spin twins with Ravindra Jadeja (21) and Ravichandran Ashwin (18) leading the show. Interestingly, their third spinner Axar Patel has got just one wicket bowling only 39 overs in the series compared to at least 95 by the two lead bowlers.

India Team News

India could bring Mohammed Shami back into the XI after rotating him for the Indore Test, with Mohammed Siraj the likely player to drop out. There are talks about Kuldeep Yadav getting a game or even another seamer dropping out in favour of an extra batter; all that may not come true.

Australia Form

Australia have managed to wriggle themselves out of tight spot with a determined show in Indore. It was Nathan Lyon’s 11-wicket match-winning haul that took the headlines, but Steven Smith’s captaincy was brilliant, to say the least.

Smith will once again look to Marnus Labuschagne (178) to lead with the bat while Usman Khawaja (153) has looked solid at various points. The emergence of Travis Head (113) is another positive as Australia look much better at the top than their hosts.

Bowling will be led by the off-spin duo of Lyon (19) and Todd Murphy (11) while Matthew Kuhnemann (8) has given their attack a new dimension.

Australia Team News

Pat Cummins will miss this match once again as Smith leads in his absence. There are unlikely to be any changes in the playing XI unless there’s a green pitch rolled out at the last minute.

India vs Australia FAQs

Where can I watch the India vs Australia live stream?

Our live streaming calendar shows you where to watch the India vs Australia live stream.

What time does India vs Australia start?

This India vs Australia Test match is being played at the Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad from 9:30am IST or 3:00pm AEDT Australia time on Thursday, March 9.

Verdict

India v Australia - 4th Test

Australia have given themselves a great chance to level 2-2, which would rank as one of their best series results in India. I am stopping short of backing Australia though, with my money on Lyon bagging at least five wickets.